Nintendo Cautiously Forecasts Switch 2 Sales Amid Tariff Uncertainty

May 27,25

Nintendo has recently announced what industry analysts are describing as a "conservative" sales forecast for the upcoming Nintendo Switch 2, amid uncertainties related to ongoing tariffs. In its latest financial report, Nintendo projected sales of 15 million units for the Switch 2, along with 45 million game sales, for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. The highly anticipated console is set to hit the market on June 5.

The company's forecast is based on the assumption that the U.S. tariffs introduced on April 10 will remain in effect throughout the fiscal year. However, Nintendo acknowledged that any changes to these tariffs could impact their projections. "We will continue to monitor the situation to respond to changes in market conditions," the company stated, indicating a readiness to adapt to evolving economic landscapes.

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Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights at Niko Partners, labeled the 15 million unit forecast as "conservative." In a tweet, he suggested that Nintendo might be cautiously considering factors such as tariff unpredictability, pricing, and production challenges, despite strong pre-order momentum. Ahmad further noted that Nintendo could potentially revise its forecast upward if the tariff situation improves, but highlighted the broader economic challenges that could complicate the console's launch.

It's important to note that if the Nintendo Switch 2 achieves sales of 15 million units in its first year, it would rank among the most successful console launches in history, surpassing the original Nintendo Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million units.

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Demand for the Switch 2 appears to be exceptionally high. Following a delay due to tariffs, pre-orders for the Nintendo Switch 2 commenced on April 24, with the console priced at $449.99. The response was overwhelmingly positive. However, Nintendo has cautioned U.S. customers who pre-ordered through the My Nintendo Store that delivery on the release date cannot be guaranteed due to the intense demand.

For those eager to secure their Switch 2, IGN offers a comprehensive Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide to assist with the process.

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